Arms Control and Weapons Proliferation in the Middle East by Shelley A. Stahl, Geoffrey Kemp (eds.)

By Shelley A. Stahl, Geoffrey Kemp (eds.)

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Biological weapons are genuinely weapons of mass destruction if used against population centers or against unprotected military forces, because their immediate and long -term effect is the death of large numbers of citizens and soldiers of the country attacked and, in all likelihood, a serious disruption of the ecosystem. Today, biological weapons do not appear to have proliferated extensively in the Middle East, outside of Iraq. S. officials indicates that at least ten countries have been determined to possess quantities of infective material for which no perceived peaceful purpose exists.

But the main loophole is inherent in the suppliers club pattern that has only an indirect bearing on non-MTCR states. Indeed, one of the most striking trends of recent years is the increasing ability of some Third World countries to strengthen their own local production capabilities of SSMs and chemical weapons alike. Increasingly, R&D has followed transnational patterns within the developing world, whereby the more or less fragmentary technological capacities of any given state are likely to be combined with the complementary expertise of one or several others for specific purposes.

See the record of the January 1989 Paris conference on chemical weapons. 6. See W. : Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 1989). 7. For an analysis of this issue that moves beyond conventional wisdom, see Thomas L. McNaugher, "Ballistic Missiles and Chemical Weapons: The Legacy of the Iran-Iraq War," International Security (Fall 1990): 5-34. 8. See Joseph F. Pilat and Paul C. White, "Technology and Strategy in a Changing World," The Washington Quarterly 13, no. 2 (Spring 1990): 79--91. 9.

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